We don't predict game outcomes. We analyze how you make picks across 11 iterations of the same parlay to surface decision patterns and biases you can't see yourself.
Team efficiency ratings, injury reports, historical matchups, weather conditions—bookmakers have better models for this data than you do. Any edge from public statistics is already reflected in the odds.
The factors that cause upsets—team motivation, momentum shifts, coaching decisions under pressure—aren't captured in spreadsheets. They're qualitative, contextual, and often reflected in how bettors perceive matchups.
Instead of predicting who wins, we analyze how you make decisions. When you're confident, uncertain, risk-seeking, or conservative—these patterns have predictive value that bookmakers don't track.
One parlay tells us almost nothing. Eleven variations of the same parlay reveal how you think.
Choose 3–8 games you want to include in your parlay. Any sport, any league. The model is sport-agnostic—it only sees your decision patterns.
For each of the same matchups, pick winners differently across iterations. Mix favorites and underdogs. The variation is the data—we're measuring which picks you're certain about and which you second-guess.
The model outputs confidence scores per leg based on your behavioral patterns, plus insights like "You picked home underdogs 73% less often than away underdogs" or "High flip frequency on Leg 3 suggests low conviction."
Traditional sequence models (RNNs, LSTMs) process inputs one at a time and lose context over long sequences. Transformers see all 11 iterations simultaneously.
The transformer's self-attention allows every pick in every iteration to be compared against every other pick. This captures relationships like:
We extract 100+ behavioral features from your 11 iterations. Here are the key categories:
How often each leg changes between iterations. High flip rate = low conviction. Consistent picks across all 11 = strong belief.
Whether your picks get riskier or safer as iterations progress. Most bettors show escalation—more underdogs in later iterations.
Whether certain parlay positions (first leg, last leg) always get favorites or underdogs regardless of matchup.
Picks that always appear together across iterations. These "locked" combinations reveal your core beliefs about correlated outcomes.
Where underdogs cluster in your iterations. Front-loaded upsets suggest different psychology than back-loaded ones.
Whether your picks correlate with line value. Some bettors chase plus-money, others avoid it regardless of edge.
These traditional inputs are excluded because they provide no edge:
Compare picks with friends on the same games. Private leaderboards, consensus tracking, streak stats.
A Q-learning agent that learns your risk/reward preferences and suggests optimal pick combinations.
Real-time comparison of in-game instincts vs. pre-game predictions. Track how your live reads differ.
Train specialized models for specific leagues, bet types (spreads vs. moneylines), or time periods.
We store your game selections and iteration patterns. No betting amounts, no sportsbook integrations, no financial data.
Parlay Buddy is a pattern analysis tool. You cannot place bets through our platform. We don't promote gambling.
We display your model's actual hit rate based on your history. Results vary by sport, season, and sample size.